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Should You Grade Giovanni's Gyarados (1st Edition)?

Gym Challenge · #5

Giovanni's Gyarados from Gym Challenge (2000) — top 3% of Gym Challenge, top 1% of 2000 cards. Raw at $273.38, PSA 10 at $6,451 (2,260% premium). The model expects continued strength, with PSA 10 projected at $6,547 (+13.9%) over the next 30 days; ~24 sales per month.

Giovanni's Gyarados (1st Edition)
Estimated grading EV positive

Our model estimate: +$43.96 (16% estimated return)

Raw price$257.08
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$301.04
Estimated profit$43.96
Estimated return16%
Break-even sell price$465.62
PSA 6 $194.85 $-84.23 (-30%)
PSA 7 $232.75 $-46.33 (-17%)
PSA 8 $351.07 +$71.99 (26%)
PSA 9 $710.83 +$431.75 (155%)
PSA 10 $3881.32 +$3602.24 (1291%)
This card is undervalued by 17% — grading EV is $301.04 vs $257.08 raw.
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