Should You Grade Giovanni's Gyarados (1st Edition)?
Gym Challenge · #5
Giovanni's Gyarados from Gym Challenge (2000) — top 3% of Gym Challenge, top 1% of 2000 cards. Raw at $273.38, PSA 10 at $6,451 (2,260% premium). The model expects continued strength, with PSA 10 projected at $6,547 (+13.9%) over the next 30 days; ~24 sales per month.
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV positive
Our model estimate: +$43.96 (16% estimated return)
Expected Value
Raw price$257.08
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$301.04
Estimated profit$43.96
Estimated return16%
Break-even sell price$465.62
Profit by Grade
PSA 6
$194.85
$-84.23 (-30%)
PSA 7
$232.75
$-46.33 (-17%)
PSA 8
$351.07
+$71.99 (26%)
PSA 9
$710.83
+$431.75 (155%)
PSA 10
$3881.32
+$3602.24 (1291%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 17% — grading EV is $301.04 vs $257.08 raw.
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